🎰 Bad Beat Blackjack – Olympian Gaming

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No Bust Blackjack Strategy: Does it Work?

Having said this, a while back I was contacted with such a case, and did in fact reveal that a particular online casino was very statistically suspect of cheating by 'dealing seconds': click here if you're curious I wasn't the only mathematician who studied this - see article for details. The easiest decision you can make to improve your odds at the casino! But I digress… back to the mystery of the Bad Blackjack Beat…. Surely there's a better chance of lightning striking them than the terrible run of cards and hands they got, which no doubt proves that the jig is up and cheaters revealed! This email newsletter is FREE , and every issue is packed with great articles on craps, blackjack and other beatable casino games. Click here for more information about the e-newsletter. Our average earnings per round was 0. Can Dan Pronovost, gambling math-geek extraordinaire, help champion the cause for good, and prove the on-going fraud hidden under the covers? I highly recommend it because you really can{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} Join Now! Overall GTC is fantastic and worth every bit of the travel, preparation and money. Download now it's FREE. As the owner of a company that produces advantage gambling training products and software, I often get questions that run along these lines…. Get 2 Free Books and all the latest updates and events from GTC, including information on current dice control seminars and special sales. This player, unfortunately, just got a bad beat, as a result of bad luck. Like Us. Thankfully, our Smart Craps simulator is chock full of Bernoulli equation modeling, since it's the basis of the method used to determine whether a dice controller's results indicate true skill. There are complicated approximation equations for Bernoulli trials, but for small numbers of trials like this it's easier to simply compute the exact value using the base sum-formula in a spreadsheet or program. This is uncommon, but not so rare that we should start a law suit. For this, I used my company's blackjack training software simulator, Blackjack Audit. But I digress… back to the mystery of the Bad Blackjack Beat… Bad Beat Mystery 1 A recent customer contacted my with the following Bad Beat story: "I was playing at an online casino single deck game, excellent rules. Insider's Club. FREE Download Learn the basics of the game, the best and worst bets to make, how to throw the dice, and how to become a knowledgeable Craps player. Determining the difference between a bad beat and cheating is a tricky business, but possible. I'll save you the boring details this time, and just tell you that the probability of winning 5 or less hands of blackjack in 30 consecutive hands is 0. We can model this again in the Blackjack Risk of Ruin simulator, by placing a lower bound of bet units after which the session ends immediately as well as the rounds limit of 5, So, it's even more likely to be due to chance in this case. Another way to solve this problem is to start with the standard deviation per round for the base game not sessions. What are the odds of this happening? As the owner of a company that produces advantage gambling training products and software, I often get questions that run along these lines… "I got dealt such-and-such hands in blackjack… they must be cheating! Using the same approach as before with these values, we get - 8. This runs multiple blackjack 'sessions', with different bankroll and round limits. Visit our web site for details: www. Astute readers might ask, "Hey… what if this player only had a bankroll of bet units, and simply stopped after 12 hours when he hit his limit? All of our blackjack, craps and poker training products are free to download and try out, and we have software for Windows, Palm OS, and Pocket PC. For this test, each ROR simulator session consisted of exactly 5, rounds of blackjack, with no lower or upper limit i. The instruction was professional and well organized, and always interesting. Dusting off the stats book on the shelf, a quick table lookup reveals the probability of this happening: 1 - 0. This is a different kind of statistical question, called a Bernoulli trial : what is the probability of some independent event, with single probability 'p', occurring 'n' or less times? A bit off from the session result of 11 bet units, but we only ran 10, sessions in the ROR simulator, which leaves room for error. You have a wonderful, fun, lighthearted team of instructors who really go the distance to help people feel welcome and comfortable. In 20 years of playing Blackjack I've never had such a loss! Golden Touch Craps. A good blackjack simulator and calculator are essential tools once you have honed your skills with good training software. There are equations that closely approximate the trip risk of ruin, based on the game's standard deviation per round and average win rate. This is generally known, but I got the figure from a Blackjack Audit simulation once again. I highly recommend it because you really can. This probability does not vary very much with different rules or games. Free Download. Played with perfect matching basic strategy, this game only gives the house about a 0. There are a couple of ways to attack this problem, which all start with a good computer blackjack simulation. Bad Beat Mystery 2 Another player wrote me this: "I just played 30 hands of Blackjack online using perfect basic strategy and won only 5 hands. Bad beats are going to happen, and even the rarest events are going to occur given the huge number of games being played at any given time. By Dan Pronovost Introduction Dan Pronovost is the owner and president of DeepNet Technologies , makers of a wide range of advantage gambling training products and software blackjack, poker, craps. This bypasses the ROR session simulator completely, using only the simulation for the base game. This is a fairly standard bankroll risk-of-ruin blackjack question ROR : what is the probability of having a final loss of units or less in a 12 hour playing session in the noted blackjack game? Plugging these in, we get a trip ROR of I'm gonna put them in the Guinness book of records! Their web site is: www. Any serious advantage blackjack player should use a good blackjack simulator on a regular basis, especially as they encounter different games, rules, and conditions. Does this change things? I simulated the following game and rules: one deck, noDAS, H17, re-deal after every round, heads up play, flat betting. We only ask for your e-mail address, never share your information, and only send you the e-newsletter every month or two. The unhappy blackjack player just got a bad beat, and is sure the casino or dealer, be it land-based or online, is pulling a fast one. This amazing professionally produced e-book includes 25 great articles by the stars of Golden Touch. Is it possible to lose this much: never happened to me in 20 years? This is the probability 'p' above. How Unlucky is Unlucky in Blackjack? The simulation report tells us that the standard deviation per round for this game is 1. These kinds of questions intrigue me, not so much because of the possibility of fraud, but because the innocent questions often reveal some surprisingly tricky blackjack math problems which, I admit, do in fact turn my crank. Conclusions Bad beats are going to happen, and even the rarest events are going to occur given the huge number of games being played at any given time. This is slightly different, and is known as trip bankroll. This funky term is a statistical measure of the variability of the ending bankroll from session to session. And in 12 hours, at 8 hands a minute, this player is going to play 5, hands. I went down bet units in the minus, flat betting, after 12 hours of play, playing about 8 hands a minute. This is very low, but not so low as to justify calling the cops, in my opinion. The final results showed that average ending bankroll was 11 bet units in the hole, and that the standard deviation of winnings per session was about 88 bet units. Toggle navigation. {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}Dan Pronovost is the owner and president of DeepNet Technologies , makers of a wide range of advantage gambling training products and software blackjack, poker, craps. Dominator's Latest Book! The problem is that 30 'trials' is not very many, and it's going to happen to one in every thousand poor souls from time to time.